Case Studies

Solana Ecosystem

How POS chains avoid ETH's fate - The correct play for high-control tokens

+-----------------------------------------------------------+
|                      SOLANA                                |
+-----------------------------------------------------------+
|                                                           |
|   How POS chains avoid ETH's fate                         |
|   High control + ecosystem participation = success        |
|                                                           |
+-----------------------------------------------------------+

Solana Supply-Side Analysis

Solana is a typical POS staking dividend scheme, currently ~7% APY staking rewards.

Cost Structure (Same as ETH)

Validator:
└── Infrastructure costs (staff, servers)

Staker:
├── Staked SOL opportunity cost
└── Validator fees

Unit SOL acquisition sunk cost is basically zero, facing same costless selling pressure as ETH

Key Difference: Chip Concentration

DimensionSolanaETH
Staking rate65%Dispersed
Chip distributionConcentrated in Solana/VC/MM/FTX8 years of POW dispersed
New outputAlways concentrated in stakeholdersCannot be reclaimed

Solana Demand-Side Analysis

Solana, like ETH, is a split scheme, but solves dividend scheme selling pressure completely differently.

Last Cycle: SBF Era

SBF controlled SOL + Alameda/FTX + Race/Jump

Incubated lots of high FDV low float projects

Alameda personally market made, violent pumps and dumps

Created Solana ecosystem's extreme volatility

Got two of three split scheme elements right:

  • Raised Sol market Beta returns
  • Violent performance made holders reluctant to sell, reduced outflow

This Cycle: Decentralized Market Making

After SBF fell, Solana lost its large-scale secondary market operation sponsor, but:

Starting from Bonk, realized on-chain became bear market battlefield

New "Alamedas" atomized

Built CT influence matrix:
├── Foundation + Founders
├── Superteam
├── Front-facing YouTuber-style KOLs
├── Angel investor-style KOLs
└── MMs

Relay-promoted "main narratives":
├── NFT
├── Depin
├── Inscriptions
└── Shitcoins

Key: All SOL-denominated, low liquidity, fast split schemes needing little pump capital


Why Do This

If you launched Solana, your SOL is both abundant and costless:

There's a SHITCOIN/SOL trading pair

Use costless SOL to pump it 100x

Lots of on-chain capital chases in

Very high probability of recouping more profit than invested

Four Goals

GoalEffect
Raise market BetaProfit effect siphons external capital
Keep pricing power on-chainKeep it on native token
Holding logic decoupled from token appreciationNative-denominated asset prices rise
Democratize market makingWeaken endorsement center, accelerate split rate

Why ETH Can't Do This

ETH Foundation:
├── Doesn't have enough chip advantage
├── No reclamation channel (POS came too late)
├── Miner community that knew how to build projects is gone
└── EF and "vassals" have no incentive to do this

Solana's Potential Crises

Water can carry a boat or capsize it:

RiskDescription
Narrative failureMain pushed narratives don't bring new assets and pumps (e.g., Blink, Payfi)
Pricing power lossExchanges try to reclaim USDT-denominated pricing (e.g., SOL-denominated restaking)
Ecosystem ossificationCore members' attitudes change, new devs can't access, split rate drops

Core Formulas

Solana success = Chip concentration × Ecosystem participation in market making

Key differences:
├── Chips concentrated in stakeholders
├── Costless pumping of low-liquidity assets
└── Pricing power stays on-chain SOL-denominated

Operational logic:
├── Atomized market making
├── CT influence matrix relay
└── Democratized market making accelerates splitting

Applicable to:
└── All high-control POS new tokens, apply to yourself

I'm not pumping Solana, I'm describing the operational methodology for all high-control POS new tokens